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The
International Comparison of Prices Program (ICP)
Origins of the
United Nations International Comparison Programme
The national income accounting framework is the standard
statistical device for describing countries' economic affairs.
Entries in the usual System of National Accounts (SNA) are
maintained by most members of the United Nations. A very
influential figure in the original development of national
accounts was Simon Kuznets, a Penn faculty member from 1936-54,
who for this and other pioneering work won the third Nobel Prize
awarded in Economics, in 1971. Richard Stone, who helped draft
the initial SNA in 1952, and oversaw most of the 1968 SNA, was
also awarded the Nobel Prize in 1984.
The 1968 SNA is a very effective data system for describing the
details of a country's economic condition at a point in time or
over a period of time. Unfortunately, it did not permit effective
comparisons between different countries. The intertemporal
viability of country comparisons had no interspatial
counterpart. There had been individual efforts such as the
work of Colin Clark in the Conditions of Economic Progress
(1940) and of Milton Gilbert and Irving Kravis (1954), and
associates at the Organization for European Economic Co-operation
(OEEC) who provided a more systematic model of how interspatial
comparisons might be done. There was also a major effort of
COMECON countries who undertook bilateral comparisons between the
Soviet Union and various countries of Eastern Europe beginning in
the 1960s. And the UN Economic Commission for Latin America also
undertook purchasing power comparisons in the 1960s. The first
systematic multilateral set of purchasing power comparisons was
that of the International Comparison Programme (ICP) of the
United Nations that was begun in 1968 under the overall umbrella
of the Statistical Office with Zoltan Kenessey in New York and
and Irving Kravis at Penn as
its first operational director. Irving Kravis, a student when
Kuznets was at Penn, helped assemble an international adisory
group and secured major funding from the Ford Foundation to
initiate the work in 1968. Alan Heston joined the
project in 1968 and Robert Summers joined in
1971. The initial work greatly benefited from the experience of
economists and statisticians who were associated with the COMECON
work, including Bodan Szulc, Giorgi Syallagi, Laslo Drechsler, E.
Krzeczkowska, Margaret Mod, L. Zienkowski, and Zoltan Kenessey,
who was recruited by the UN Statistical Office to coordinate with
the unit at Penn. Early in the work the ICP received moral and
material support from the World Bank and many individual
countries. This early work involved many meetings and some of the
participants are pictured at an early conference supported
by the Rockefeller Villa Serbolini in Bellagio. Partly as a
result of this initial work, the 1993 SNA in which Peter Hill was
heavily involved, included international comparisons involving
conversions country national accounts at PPPs.
Over the years a number of so-called benchmark studies have been
conducted with the active co-operation and participation of the
United Nations, and since 1980 Eurostat at the EU, the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and
the UN Regional Commissions have been most active in the work.
Prices of different goods and services---standardized with
respect to quality---were collected in many countries.
Appropriately computed indexes based on these prices are applied
to entries in the countries' SNAs to produce valid comparisons of
the countries' relative standings, both with respect to the
countries' national incomes and also the fine detail of the
compositions of their incomes. Participating countries in the
benchmark comparisons worked closely with the ICP groups in New
York and Philadelphia. The group at Penn evolved a framework
of multilateral comparisons building on the work of others and
developing some new methods for organizing and aggregating the
data discussed in Kravis, Kenessey, Heston and Summers (1975).
The estimation of the benchmark studies for 1967, 1970 and 1975
were carried out at Penn, and the last of these studies is posted
on this website and the World Bank. (see Publications and World
Income and Product at the World Bank site). After the
1975 comparison the ICP was organized on a regional basis with
the EU, OECD and the UN regional commissions coordinating
individual countries. Alan Heston did the work on the 1980
benchmark study when he was at the United Nations Statistical
Office on leave from Penn. Since the 1980 benchmark Penn
participation in benchmark studies has taken a different form:
regional organizations (UN regional commissions, often with the
assistance of the World Bank, the European Union, OECD, etc.)
made the relevant comparisons for the relative standings of their
member countries. Our contribution has been to combine these
results into world benchmark comparisons that became the basis
for extending the work across countries and time in the form of
Penn World Table (See About PWT) Because
the benchmark comparisons are rich sources of data for economic
analysis, providing much more detail than is available other
sources for comparisons across countries, we have made them
available at a world level in as comparable a format as we could
manage. As described below, these may be downloaded by interested
users. Also, if users of benchmark data are primarily concerned
with the Eurostat and OECD countries, their benchmark comparisons
are more detailed, and both organizations make available their
data to researchers with a justification for its use. (See OECD Statistics, Eurostat).
Using the
Benchmark Comparisons
The published record of benchmark comparisons includes
regional and world comparisons. These are described through 1985
in publications
of the World Bank, including the
published comparisons of the Penn group. What is made available
here is the benchmark world that have been put together for the
development of the Penn World Table. These estimates will differ
from published estimates in three basic respects. First, we have
used the latest national accounts totals. Second we have tried to
make the methodology comparable for the treatment of services in
all comparisons through 1985. And third, after 1975, we have
combined regional comparisons into world comparisons without
fixity, the practice of maintaining the relationship between
countries found in a region even when countries outside the
region are introduced into the comparison. The files include 16
countries for 1970, 34 for 1975, 60 for 1980, 65 for 1985, and
115 for 1996. Between 1985 and 1996 there were a number of
regional comparisons, including the beginning of annual estimates
within Eurostat and 3 year benchmarks for the OECD beginning in
1990. Many countries in Africa, Asia, and the former Soviet Union
also took part in 1993 benchmark comparisons. In an attempt to
produce a world comparison, the World Bank then updated the 1993
benchmark ICP comparisons for 14 ESCAP countries, 22 African
countries, 12 Caribbean countries and 8 ECWA countries to 1996
and combined these with the results for 9 South American
countries for 1996, plus the 52 countries that the OECD covered,
that included non-member countries within the former Soviet
Union. (The total of 117 double counts Japan in the OECD and
ESCAP and Egypt in Africa and ECWA). The linking of the various
regions was done in different ways, usually with a link country
like Japan for ESCAP, and the United States for Africa, and the
Western Hemisphere. The linkage was carried out at the world
level for only 32 headings and the estimates are subject to much
more error than earlier benchmarks, and the World Bank has not
thought them of sufficient accuracy to justify publication.
The interested user may download the basic input data for each of
the 5 benchmarks. These include 10 tables for each benchmark, 5
for detailed headings, and 5 for aggregations, where for 1996
there are about as many aggregations in earlier benchmarks as
there are detailed headings for 1996. All expenditures are
expressed on a per capita basis and a separate table provides the
exchange rates, populations and supercountry weights used in each
benchmark. Table 1 provides expenditures per capita in national
currencies and Table 3 the price parities for heading and
aggregations. Individual price comparisons underlie the heading
parities but these are not in generally available . The basic output of
the Geary aggregations is a set of expenditures in international
dollars of each year. (See box at right.) These are given in the
detailed and aggregate Table 5, and the entries are comparable
across and down country columns. An $I has the purchasing power
over all of GDP (but not the components) of a US$ in current
prices of each benchmark year. Detailed Table 3 has been
expressed as the parity for each heading in national currencies
per US $, where it is understood that the US =3D 1.0. In
order to provide more information, we have put what we term the
international price in the US column. In the aggregate
Table 3, the same procedure has been followed. (If a user
wishes to express these parities relative to Earthea, the total
of the countries in our comparisons, they can also be obtained by
dividing each entry in Table 1 by the corresponding entry in
Table 5 where the US will not be 1.0; the international price is
simply the reciprocal of the purchasing power parity of the
US.)
Future Benchmark Comparisons
There have been several reviews of benchmark
comparisons. One is the Ian Castles report:
Review of the Eurostat OECD Programme, 1997. This is on the OECD
website under Statistics Directorate/Purchasing Power Parities,
as well as papers from the Joint World Bank-OECD Seminar on
Purchasing Power Parities, Washington, 30 January-2 February,
2001. This site also has links to the report of Jacob Ryten
on the United Nations programme. As a follow up to the 2001
meeting, the World Bank held a conference in 2002 that was to
spell out how a coordinated world comparison in 2003 or 2004
might be organized and it also included the Ryten report. (See WorldBank: Data and
Statistics / ICP). It is clear that
the comparisons carried on by Eurostat and OECD are continuing
and include many non-members. A major question remains of how to
include other world areas.
Gilbert, Milton and Irving B. Kravis (1954), An International
Comparison of National Products and the Purchasing Power of
Currencies: A Study of the United States, The United Kingdom,
France, Germany and Italy, OEEC, Paris.
Kravis, I. B., Z. Kenessey, A. Heston and R. Summers (1975), A
System of International Comparisons of Gross Product and
Purchasing Power Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University
Press.
United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America (1963),
Measurement of Price Levels and the Purchasing Power of
Currencies in Latin America, 1960-1962, Mar del Plata Argentina,
May. E/CN.12/653.

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